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Trade and Tariff Developments Accelerate: What Businesses Should Be Doing Now

The U.S. trade environment continues to evolve at a rapid pace, creating new compliance obligations, tariff exposure, and strategic planning considerations for importers. Over the past several weeks, the Trump Administration has advanced a series of initiatives that collectively signal a more aggressive approach to customs enforcement, supply chain transparency, and trade policy.

From expanded customs enforcement requirements and ongoing litigation surrounding IEEPA tariff refunds to proposed new Section 301 tariffs tied to forced labor practices, companies should evaluate both their immediate compliance position and longer-term sourcing strategies.

Customs Enforcement Enters a New Era

On June 3, President Trump signed an executive order directing a comprehensive overhaul of U.S. customs enforcement. The order significantly increases expectations for importers of record (IORs), customs brokers, and supply chain participants.

Among the most notable changes are enhanced importer registration requirements, expanded disclosure obligations, stricter bonding standards, and increased penalties for noncompliance. Foreign importers of record will face particularly heightened scrutiny, including restrictions on informal entries and additional validation requirements for formal entries.

The administration also directed U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) to expand audits, increase enforcement activity, and establish stronger due diligence expectations for customs brokers. The message is clear: customs compliance is becoming a strategic business risk rather than a purely administrative function.

For many organizations, now is the time to review importer structures, bonding arrangements, broker relationships, and internal customs compliance procedures before new regulations are finalized.

IEEPA Refund Litigation Continues

Meanwhile, the legal battle over refunds of tariffs collected under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) continues to develop.

On June 2, the Department of Justice appealed the Court of International Trade's order directing CBP to refund duties collected under IEEPA. The government argues that the court's nationwide refund order exceeds judicial authority under recent Supreme Court precedent limiting broad injunctive relief.

The appeal introduces additional uncertainty regarding the timing and scope of future refunds. CBP has reported that approximately $85 billion of an estimated $166 billion in IEEPA duties has already been refunded, while Consolidated Administration and Processing of Entries (CAPE) system enhancements continue to process remaining claims.

Although the litigation is ongoing, importers should continue preserving their rights by filing timely protests where appropriate. Working with legal counsel and your customs brokers to maintain optionality remains critical as court proceedings and administrative refund processes continue to evolve.

New Section 301 Tariffs Could Impact Imports from More Than 60 Economies

Perhaps the most significant development for global supply chains is U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) action proposing a new layer of Section 301 tariffs tied to forced labor enforcement standards among U.S. trading partners.

Following investigations covering 60 economies, USTR concluded that each jurisdiction's approach to prohibiting and enforcing bans on forced labor imports creates competitive distortions that burden U.S. commerce. As a result, USTR has proposed additional tariffs ranging from 10% to 12.5% on imports from the affected economies.

The proposal would apply broadly across products and countries, including major U.S. trading partners such as China, India, Vietnam, Brazil, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and numerous others. Economies with existing forced labor import prohibitions or qualifying trade arrangements generally would be subject to the lower 10% rate, while most others would face the proposed 12.5% rate.

While the proposed duties are not yet effective, the breadth of countries covered makes this initiative especially significant. Unlike prior tariff actions that focused on a limited number of jurisdictions, the proposed framework could affect sourcing decisions across multiple continents and industries simultaneously.

Important Exclusions and Opportunities

The proposal does include several important carveouts.

Products identified in Annex A of the Federal Register notice would be excluded, along with many goods already subject to Section 232 tariffs. Additional exclusions would apply to qualifying USMCA goods, certain CAFTA-DR textile and apparel products, informational materials, donations, and other specified categories.

USTR is also proposing a unique textile and apparel provision that could allow certain imports to receive reduced tariff treatment based on the trading partner's purchases of U.S.-produced cotton, textiles, and related products.

For companies operating in manufacturing, retail, consumer products, logistics, and distribution sectors, tariff outcomes may ultimately depend not only on country of origin but also on product classification, sourcing patterns, and supply chain structure.

What Companies Should Be Doing Now

The current environment requires a proactive approach rather than a wait-and-see strategy.

Organizations should begin by mapping exposure across their supply chains, identifying imports sourced from countries potentially affected by the proposed tariffs and evaluating applicable Harmonized Tariff Schedule (HTS) classifications. Companies should model the potential financial impact of an additional 10% to 12.5% duty layer on margins, pricing strategies, customer contracts, and working capital requirements, while also evaluating opportunities to mitigate costs through sourcing adjustments, tariff engineering, customs valuation reviews, foreign trade zone utilization, and contractual tariff pass-through provisions.

In parallel, businesses should review whether existing exclusions, including Section 232, USMCA, CAFTA-DR, and other preferential programs, may mitigate potential exposure.

For companies with significant import volumes, participation in the USTR comment process may be worthwhile. USTR has specifically requested feedback regarding product coverage, exclusion requests, supply chain disruptions, domestic availability concerns, and the proposed textile mechanism. Well-supported comments backed by import data and commercial evidence can influence the scope and implementation of final tariff measures.

Finally, companies should assess broader supply chain readiness, including sourcing alternatives, tariff pass-through provisions, Incoterms, foreign trade zone strategies, customs broker instructions, and forced labor compliance programs.

Looking Ahead

Taken together, these developments demonstrate that trade policy is increasingly focused on three interconnected priorities: revenue protection, supply chain transparency, and economic leverage through tariffs.

As customs enforcement intensifies, IEEPA refund litigation proceeds, and new tariff proposals move through the regulatory process, companies that proactively evaluate their exposure will be better positioned to manage risk and identify opportunities.

The coming months will be particularly important, with public comment deadlines, hearings, and regulatory implementation decisions likely to shape the trade landscape well into 2027. For importers, manufacturers, and supply chain leaders, now is the time to move from monitoring developments to actively preparing for them.